Thursday, August 2, 2007

Central Bank Decisions Eyed

At 5:00 AM Eurozone June PPI m/m (exp 0.3%, prev 0.3%)
Eurozone June PPI y/y (exp 2.3%, prev 2.3%)
At 7:00 AM BoE Monetary Policy Decision (exp 5.75%, prev 5.75%)
At 7:45 AM ECB Monetary Policy Decision (exp 4.0%, prev 4.0%)
At 8:30 AM ECB President Trichet Press Conference
US Weekly Jobless Claims (exp 310k, prev 301k)
At 10:00 AM US June Durable Goods Orders (exp 1.4%, prev 1.4%)
US June Factory Orders (exp 1.0%, prev –0.5%)

The major currencies are little changed heading into Thursday, with the dollar and yen maintaining their buoyant tone. US equities rebounded late in the session, briefly sending the yen lower toward the 119-level against the dollar and 163 versus the euro. Currencies will continue to be dictated by moves in the global equity bourses as fears of the subprime debacle fester in the background – prompting heightened risk aversion among traders.

In addition to closely monitoring equity performance, markets will look ahead to US weekly jobless claims, June durable goods orders and factory orders. Weekly jobless claims are seen creeping higher to 310k, up from 301k in the prior week. Durable goods orders, typically a volatile number, is seen unchanged in June at 1.4%, while factory orders are expected to reverse last month’s 0.5% decline, rising by 1.0% in June.

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